Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 5.926756 6.925106 8.006617 9.261142 10.672011 12.205344 13.993355
2026-01-11 4.531926 5.844674 7.379149 9.289175 11.585695 14.240252 17.521679
2026-01-18 3.554756 4.964585 6.715029 9.015659 11.924095 15.441116 19.974023
2026-01-25 2.889272 4.328735 6.212161 8.804541 12.221254 16.507634 22.220014
2026-02-01 2.375138 3.799760 5.756054 8.563399 12.402682 17.376125 24.197493
2026-02-08 1.977239 3.367102 5.364362 8.342913 12.555170 18.170442 26.070165
2026-02-15 1.641163 2.972500 4.972256 8.066437 12.582659 18.765813 27.669945
2026-02-22 1.448160 2.769667 4.832849 8.127753 13.067309 19.982581 30.135496
2026-03-01 1.278267 2.578811 4.686801 8.156594 13.491316 21.117020 32.515284
2026-03-08 1.140734 2.422580 4.575668 8.221636 13.959936 22.320883 35.023588
2026-03-15 1.011316 2.261661 4.437754 8.226813 14.327455 23.381490 37.353214
2026-03-22 0.935704 2.189543 4.439996 8.453231 15.040610 24.969543 40.492107
2026-03-29 0.854677 2.097585 4.401203 8.611528 15.659674 26.450882 43.543857
2026-04-05 0.764914 1.974879 4.294493 8.643826 16.073551 27.632465 46.186382
2026-04-12 0.650019 1.780739 4.034769 8.386196 15.991269 28.036768 47.659485
2026-04-19 0.557748 1.620037 3.819822 8.187243 15.987828 28.553244 49.307914
2026-04-26 0.475115 1.466400 3.600778 7.960052 15.916886 28.950114 50.772515
2026-05-03 0.405520 1.330836 3.402221 7.752383 15.862108 29.361970 52.262814
2026-05-10 0.341093 1.195115 3.186753 7.492064 15.694007 29.573515 53.431335
2026-05-17 0.308669 1.138438 3.135771 7.549788 16.097879 30.742782 56.165854
2026-05-24 0.277575 1.079367 3.072668 7.576941 16.444038 31.822918 58.781923
2026-05-31 0.251884 1.030916 3.028381 7.638182 16.853818 33.021183 61.620482
2026-06-07 0.225591 0.975040 2.960145 7.643055 17.154937 34.039314 64.185104